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Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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Alex B
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:07 pm
Post subject: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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I haven't played much recently, just a few live sessions in the year, so I don't have too much idea of 'standard' frequencies in that context. So opinions welcome from any regular live players.

Stacks about 400, full table dealt in.

3 folds, raise to 13, call, (these 2 are deep and fishy, flatting big raises pre-flop), fold, button raises to 61 (tightish player but looks solid enough that this range isn't simple).

I have QQ in the SB, action?

Online in 2010 (at 2/4, similar bets and stacks) this would be an easy 4b-call or maybe a shove, we actually are 6-handed here with 3 folds under the gun, and solid online players would be 3betting the fish liberally from the button.

Live I don't really know how much of that is true, and there is no dynamic in which anyone has any idea if I can ever bluff 4-bet or how wide anyone's ranges really are.

Given that, I hate the stack sizes, and don't like any of the options.
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TheBlueBoy
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:30 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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If the button knows (as you do) that the raiser and flatter like to play atc, then maybe he's just trying to pick up the dead money and most of the time he will. I'm raising here every time.
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Alex B
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:38 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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TheBlueBoy wrote:
If the button knows (as you do) that the raiser and flatter like to play atc, then maybe he's just trying to pick up the dead money and most of the time he will. I'm raising here every time.


Raise-calling or raise-folding?

Also he wouldn't pick up dead money, they'll certainly call and he can play a huge pot in position, the effect is almost the same but I'd guess he wants a more playable range for this.
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Last edited by Alex B on Fri Aug 10, 2012 3:19 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Bogus
At Won with No 28


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:40 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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Or raise shoving.
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darrensprengers
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 4:41 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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i think my brain just exploded trying to work out what i would do. what a horrible spot.
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Alex B
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 5:22 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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I just realised there is one limit solution... If button's range is wide enough to 'bluff shove' and pick up the £90 when he never calls wider than AK,KK+, then folding can't be an option.

Against an AK,KK+ calling range its 60/40, so we get back 320ish meaning we are risking 80 to win 90 - so we need 47% folds. He has 28 combos of calls, so if he 3-bets 60+ combos it can't be a fold.

Against a KK+ caller (maybe more realistic) its 82/18, so we get back 144ish meaning we are risking 256 to win 90 - so we need 74% folds. He has 12 combos of calls, so if he 3-bets 48+ combos it can't be a fold.

Given AJ+ is 40 and JJ+ is 19, getting the stack in doesn't seem as dodgy as I initially thought unless its a miss-read and his range is super tight (possible). And its almost always better to have wider aggression ranges when its borderline.

So if we are getting it in pre we just need the most extra-bet inducing line. Probably shoving into some people to get snapped off by lower pairs, and min-4betting some people to get shoved over by AJ/67s.

This could even get a miracle fold from KK from some players, since they very rarely see someone shove 200bbs, in that case 'bluff' shoving sounds great. (Is that a range-merging 2-way bet Smile? ) I guess there had to be a good reason we played like this back in the online days.
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The Dean
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 7:19 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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Alex B wrote:
I just realised there is one limit solution... If button's range is wide enough to 'bluff shove' and pick up the £90 when he never calls wider than AK,KK+, then folding can't be an option.

Against an AK,KK+ calling range its 60/40, so we get back 320ish meaning we are risking 80 to win 90 - so we need 47% folds. He has 28 combos of calls, so if he 3-bets 60+ combos it can't be a fold.

Against a KK+ caller (maybe more realistic) its 82/18, so we get back 144ish meaning we are risking 256 to win 90 - so we need 74% folds. He has 12 combos of calls, so if he 3-bets 48+ combos it can't be a fold.

Given AJ+ is 40 and JJ+ is 19, getting the stack in doesn't seem as dodgy as I initially thought unless its a miss-read and his range is super tight (possible). And its almost always better to have wider aggression ranges when its borderline.

So if we are getting it in pre we just need the most extra-bet inducing line. Probably shoving into some people to get snapped off by lower pairs, and min-4betting some people to get shoved over by AJ/67s.

This could even get a miracle fold from KK from some players, since they very rarely see someone shove 200bbs, in that case 'bluff' shoving sounds great. (Is that a range-merging 2-way bet Smile? ) I guess there had to be a good reason we played like this back in the online days.





Paralysis by analysis.......Alex...how much money did you have on you???? This is relevant for a live game where there are fish at the table. I am folding this all day long.......in a NL100 ring game online then you face KK+, AKs nearly always. But then in that environment ranges are tighter because there are multi-tabling regs. Three folds doesn't auto make it six max if there is no adjustment.

The reason why I asked about the money is why get involved in marginals like these when you simply need to stay in action against weaker players. Your QQ OOP against a fish who normally flats who this time has raised and a tight player making it £61 is marginal at best. We are 200 bigs deep here and Q-Q is even more marginal. I certainly don't like four betting and flatting OOP when it doesn't close the action for 30% of our stack isn't good either.

IMO.....I want money to play with the fish and a good state of mind (Not saying you wouldn't have both if you lose 200bb by the way)......just that there are more factors involved. There is not enough info to arrive at a conclusion and so why bash your head against a wall. You simply don't need to concern yourself with marginal value situations like these.
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The Dean
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 7:34 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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Just realised the first raiser didn't come from early position. Even allowing for his slightly expanded range then he is still a fish who has raised from middle position and a tight player has three bet. In the absence of more information then we don't need to almost "level" ourselves here when what is more important is to balance our individual decision making processes with other equally important game dynamics.

I hate hands like these because they don't really answer anything and there are certainly strong meta game reasons for folding and I have absolutely no problem with that.
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Seb
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 7:34 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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Shove.
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knifeboy62
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 7:45 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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fold or shove. It's too close to say which is better in this spot, assuming your image is solid too.

Given how close it is I am shoving because that can only help me take advantage of my image later, if called, and assuming I am staying around for a while.
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Bogus
At Won with No 28


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 7:50 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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amirite
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TheBlueBoy
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 9:36 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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Alex B wrote:
TheBlueBoy wrote:
If the button knows (as you do) that the raiser and flatter like to play atc, then maybe he's just trying to pick up the dead money and most of the time he will. I'm raising here every time.


Raise-calling or raise-folding?

Also he wouldn't pick up dead money, they'll certainly call and he can play a huge pot in position, the effect is almost the same but I'd guess he wants a more playable range for this.


Just reread OP, so you're certain the fish are coming along, then obv he'll be playing against them in position, then how often is his action just situational? Horrible spot.
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morracey
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 11, 2012 3:20 am
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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This is obviously a horrible spot to be in but straight away you can ignore anyone who suggests a call or a small raise these are never an option here!! It is all-in or fold.

If you call there are still the two fish to act, and if they like to play as much as you say they do will probably call. Qs four ways is not in good shape!

It's also a time(one of the very few) where I think the maths is irrelevant, its all about instinct. Without a good enough read on the table you should fold and wait for a better, simpler spot. You have more than enough behind you. But if you think there's a chance that the tighter players range might be wider than usual because of the players in and his position then shove. I think I would be inclined to fold and watch the hand and the buttons reactions closely.
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The Dean
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 11, 2012 11:30 am
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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TheBlueBoy wrote:
If the button knows (as you do) that the raiser and flatter like to play atc, then maybe he's just trying to pick up the dead money and most of the time he will. I'm raising here every time.



In terms of range depth then there is a big difference between someone who is fishy who flats frequently and someone who opens.....the range is far narrower in the second instance and so fold equity is much lower. Because we are not 4-betting/shoving for value then we need fold equity to make the line viable. But the tight three bettor complicates the shove/four bet line because we can no longer take that line for value.

So Q-Q effectively becomes a bluff and this is where we need to know effective ranges. The fact that this hand is being debated at all makes it marginal and there isn't any need to get involved and better spots will present themselves. It is simply my style to fold in situations akin to this. But then again I just get into the mindset of feeling solid and in control when I make folds like this and this helps me during the session. Have played far too many sessions where I have become involved in marginal situations early on and lost buy-ins and then dwelled on the decision making process during the session when I should have been concentrating on current hands. I think these sorts of situations can affect the overall profitability of the session as a whole if you are not careful.
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PokerSensation
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 11, 2012 7:48 pm
Post subject: Re: Live 1-2 QQ in SB after a 3bet
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knifeboy62 wrote:
fold or shove. It's too close to say which is better in this spot, assuming your image is solid too.

Given how close it is I am shoving because that can only help me take advantage of my image later, if called, and assuming I am staying around for a while.


This.

I shove.

If you are folding this 6 handed you will get raped. Unless the game is passive, people only re-raising with monsters etc.

The button could be betting here with a marginal hand, or a pp. As long as it isn't a game where it is obvious people are only doing this with monsters, it is such a negative ev to do anything but shove here.
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