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Poker Den 2008. Did I misplay this hand?
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Barny
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 12:33 am
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darrensprengers wrote:
[
I just watched the video and that did piss on my fireworks.lol



lol. Now THAT may be the most UNDER used expression in poker.
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Matt101
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 12:43 am
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Barny wrote:
And here is the hand itself:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=br2HGn43S_k

It's worth watching for the several 'creative' commments made by the co-commentator.


Neil Channing is UTG+1, not UTG, and it looks to me like he limps rather than bets. Would make a huge difference if he did as the action would be limp from UTG+1, call, raise, 3bet rather than bet from UTG, call, 3bet, 4bet (which would pretty much narrow him down to aces in my head).
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Barny
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 1:11 am
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Matt101 wrote:
Barny wrote:
And here is the hand itself:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=br2HGn43S_k

It's worth watching for the several 'creative' commments made by the co-commentator.


Neil Channing is UTG+1, not UTG, and it looks to me like he limps rather than bets. Would make a huge difference if he did as the action would be limp from UTG+1, call, raise, 3bet rather than bet from UTG, call, 3bet, 4bet (which would pretty much narrow him down to aces in my head).


I think He did raise. But I am reminded that he min-raised to 100. That was my origional recolection, but I checked the video for the pot sizes as I couldn't remember the sizes of all the bets. I inferred from from the on screen pot size that his raise was to 150 but it was in fact to 100.
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Alex B
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 11:15 am
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For a range-Vs-range game plan I can't think of a better line than Barney's here, (from the little that can be inferred about villain from watching the video).

With a hand this strong there's little point bluffing him off air when we could profitably call a few bets. I think the most questionable bit is the river, because to me (tenously just based on the clip) he looks like he might be the type not to call too lightly against Barney's line. If he won't call there with TT and 9x check-something must be better. But if he might call with those hands I like the bet.

I'd prefer Darren's plans with no-pair hands with a few outs - say we had AQo and a read that he was weak.

If the hand was an utter surprise - he was tight until then, then I'd usually just fold if he's good, or call if he's bad enough to pay off our sets for sure whilst also telling us when he's giving up with AK. (I think $1400 is a bit steep just for set-mining with 23000 left out of position.)
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Barny
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 11:57 am
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Alex makes some very good points, as allways.

I posted this hand because I think it is possible to make a good case for every action on the river except check-raise.

I don't think you can infer from his hesitation on the river that he would not have called with tens or 9x. I noticed from other hands that he was more decisive with weak and medium hands. When he hit a monster he could be a bit more rabit-in-the-headlights.

He was thinking something like. 'Oh no, I might have hit a card to get me into trouble. I was afraid of a set of nines when he called. If I raise now I could lose all my money. Can he have AK and will he call with it? This is probably a lucky river card, but lets not push my luck. There are very few hands he can have that will get me more money. Oh but it looks so weak just to call here...' (But it was in German so it took twice as long.)

I genuinley don't know wether I played the hand as well as I could have, and am very intersted in what you all have to say. But I think I had good reasons for what I did.
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fraac
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 3:17 pm
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Wouldn't rule out a check-raise if you know he's that scared. It's not always wrong to bluff when you think you're ahead.
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Robbo1000
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 4:25 pm
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Barny,
Great explanation of your thought process for the hand. I think you played excellent and the river play highlights one of my weakness and something I am working on to improve. In the past I was such a big nit I would always have checked the river and called most bets and overall it was a profitable play against the Bodo’s of poker. The drawback of course is your opponent knows your hand is good but not great and a big bet by them would put you under a lot of pressure to fold. After your bet you are representing a big hand and if you opponent raises you then you know you are beat or have to congratulate them on their bold play. If you are beat and they just call then you are dictating the amount you pay them.
When we first learn to play poker one of the key skills we learn from training materials is to be aggressive. The fact your opponent had to think for so long and only called with trip 2s shows what a powerful play you made in the hand. If you can keep asking difficult questions of your opponent whatever the actual outcome of the hand you must be playing good poker. You did all this and yet also managed great pot control at the same time.
I will add of course we should not always bet but occasionally check in this position against a regularly opponent so that we don’t become too readable. I would still often just check here if I’m confident my opponent will take a stab at the pot.

The key question you were not asked by Bodo was what would you have done if he bet on the turn?
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Barny
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:02 pm
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Against a substantial turn bet I probably have to fold or move in. I think I would have been more likely to fold, but I would have had to re-assess my read and I would have taken my time before making my decision...Then I'd have folded, it was my case money!
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Barny
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:07 pm
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fraac wrote:
Wouldn't rule out a check-raise if you know he's that scared. It's not always wrong to bluff when you think you're ahead.



It's not wrong to stick your elbow in your ear either, but have you tried it lately?
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fraac
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:23 pm
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Barny wrote:
fraac wrote:
Wouldn't rule out a check-raise if you know he's that scared. It's not always wrong to bluff when you think you're ahead.



It's not wrong to stick your elbow in your ear either, but have you tried it lately?


Hang on...

It's quite tricky. I'd want more precise equity calculations and a longer neck.
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whammer
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 9:07 pm
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check call the river but obv fold to the shove from him

apart from that, wp and very unlucky
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evelyn
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 5:25 pm
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Why didn't Bodo raise on the river?If he doesn't get called he doesn't have to show 72o so it looks like a win-win to me.
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evelyn
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 6:04 pm
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Barny wrote:
I think 'range' has become the most over-used word in poker. The concept is useful but does not entierly subsitute for all the other information you get in a hand. Players have allways thought in terms of narrowing the opponents range of possible cards as the hand progresses. By the river I had so much more to go on than where my hand stood against his pre-flop range. Besides, if a player will four bet with 7-2 off are you quite sure that Jacks are behind 80% of his range?


I think it's a mistake to stick rigidly to pre-flop range assessments after more information is received on susbsequent streets.I mentioned this in the discussion on Ram's hand.He discounted pairs before the flop but I think he could have included 22 back into Andy Black's range after Andy bet 1000 on the flop. In answer to your question obviously you can't be quite sure of much pre-flop against an opponent who mixes it up but if you know how often he 4 bets filth you know your overall equity against his ranges.
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Matt101
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 6:33 pm
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evelyn wrote:
Why didn't Bodo raise on the river?If he doesn't get called he doesn't have to show 72o so it looks like a win-win to me.


I'm not a fan of how villain played this hand by any means but I don't think the call on the river is too bad. Does a raise get called by much that he's ahead of?
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evelyn
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 8:45 pm
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Matt101 wrote:
evelyn wrote:
Why didn't Bodo raise on the river?If he doesn't get called he doesn't have to show 72o so it looks like a win-win to me.


I'm not a fan of how villain played this hand by any means but I don't think the call on the river is too bad. Does a raise get called by much that he's ahead of?



You never know.It's an opportunity to confuse Barney and hide the 72o.
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